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Forecasting Terrorist Attacks
At the start of the RMS Exceedance conference in New Orleans in March this year, I was interviewed for A.M. Best TV on terrorism risk, and…
Seasonal Forecast of European Windstorm Activity...
Known indicators point to stormier conditions in the North Atlantic this winter. However, what this means for Europe windstorm losses is much…
Wine Country Wildfires: Reconnaissance and Loss ...
Kevin Van Leer, senior product manager – Model Product Management, RMS 19:00 UTC Friday, October 27 Figure 1: A door frame of a destroyed…
Reimagining History – Counterfactual Risk Analysis
Just under ten years ago, as the global financial crisis was unfolding, the book The Black Swan emerged as the most quoted critique of the…
Europe Severe Convective Storm: Hail on the Agenda
When a hail event lasting just minutes hit southern Germany on July 28, 2013, it generated a US$3.9 billion insured loss. Some 80,000…
California Wildfires: Latest Loss Estimates
Kevin Van Leer, senior product manager – Model Product Management, RMS 20:00 UTC Tuesday, October 17 Nearly ten days have passed since the…