NEWARK, Calif. - October 03, 2019 RMS, a leading global risk modeling and analytics firm, announced the release of RMS HWind forecasting products for the North Atlantic Basin. Available as part of the RMS HWind Real-Time Analysis Solution suite, RMS HWind forecasting products support proactive event response strategies ahead of landfall by delivering five-day forecast track scenarios, hazard footprints, and gust probability analytics every 12-hours once a tropical cyclone has been named.
Jeff Waters, Senior Product Manager of RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models, said, “Powered by a combination of HWind real-time observational data feeds, real-time track forecast data, and the RMS North Atlantic Hurricane modeling framework, our new forecasting products help the market gain earlier insights into potential hazard and loss impacts before landfall, informing key, time-critical decisions as the event unfolds. Having access to analytics based on real-time data that reflects an accurate range of uncertainty with track scenarios only increases the confidence and reliability in those decisions.”
To test the efficacy of the HWind forecasting products prior to their release, RMS validated them against more than 15 historical storms over more than 15 years. The product suite went live for Hurricane Dorian earlier this season, exhibiting useful insights for the market, particularly when the storm was threatening to make landfall in Florida.
Mark Powell, Founder of HWind and Vice President of Model Development at RMS, said, “Several days before Hurricane Dorian’s closest approach to Florida when industry stakeholders were gearing up for an impending landfall, HWind forecasting products demonstrated an increasing probability of the storm sparing Florida and instead recurving to the north.”
HWind Forecasting Products use proprietary RMS methodology that utilizes 100+ real-time track forecasts across a variety of domestic and international weather forecasting models. Data is combined with HWind analytics and the RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models framework to produce a suite of representative forecast scenarios every 12 hours once the storm reaches tropical storm intensity or greater. The hazard and corresponding loss analytics associated with each scenario are consistent with how RMS models hurricanes today throughout the North Atlantic Basin.
Collectively, RMS HWind forecasting tools support a user’s ability to understand forecast track, timing, intensity and uncertainty across multiple forecast scenarios up to five days before landfall, including the ability to quantify potential losses for each scenario against exposure(s) at risk.
This new offering is an example of the innovative (re)insurance-critical risk tools delivered by RMS that have garnered industry recognition, such as a recent award at the Reactions North America Re/Insurance Awards in New York on September 28, 2019. For the second year in a row, RMS was named North America Risk Modeler of the Year by market vote and an independent group of industry judges. This award underscores the company’s commitment to remaining a dependable source of guidance for clients, offering them – and the market – advanced, easy-to-access, data and science-based insights.
The award win and the release of RMS HWind forecasting products support the company’s strategic vision to continue offering future-proof risk solutions, purpose-built to support insurance and financial market needs.
Find additional information about the HWind Product Suite at RMS.com.
NEWARK, CA – 19 May, 2022 – RMS®, a Moody's Analytics company and world-leading risk modeling and solutions company, announces it will be launching new global views for acute and chronic perils and their climate change impact. RMS already offers a range of regional peril and climate change models, which support detailed acute physical loss modeling products, as well as data products covering hazard and risk scores, and loss costs for individual locations, across multiple time horizons. RMS climate change models and data products have been welcomed by the market, and allow users to stress test portfolio management, risk mitigation, and adaption strategies. The newly announced global views significantly extend RMS’s peril and climate change impact coverage to provide fully correlated global views of risk, and include event frequency and severity, and analysis for current baseline and future climate views. With these new global views, RMS not only delivers a view of risk for acute peril-specific risks, but also chronic risks such as drought, heat stress, water stress, and sea-level rise. This global peril coverage will enhance RMS’s applications on the Intelligent Risk Platform™ with the Risk Modeler™, ExposureIQ™, TreatyIQ™, SiteIQ™, and UnderwriteIQ™ applications delivering global insights in the future. Michael Steel, General Manager, RMS, said: “We are continuing to see growing demand for risk insights on acute and chronic perils and climate change, from investors and corporations across many industries such as banking, commercial real estate, and insurance. The effects of these risks will unfold over many years and will have many direct and indirect implications for both industry and society. We firmly believe that long-term strategies and decision making can only benefit from detailed and analytical insight into hazard and risk impacts for present and future climates.”
NEWARK, CA – 18 May, 2022 – RMS®, a Moody's Analytics company and world-leading risk modeling and solutions company, today announces it will be releasing four new High Definition™ (HD) models, including Europe Windstorm, North America Winterstorm (WT), North America Severe Convective Storm (SCS), and Terrorism. RMS HD Models represent the next generation of risk modeling, delivering deeper analysis and granularity from Moody's. The HD probabilistic models incorporate a high-fidelity, simulation-based framework for modeling event frequency and severity, to provide a major step forward in the quality of catastrophe risk quantification. The framework allows for event footprints to be represented more realistically across larger event sets. The new RMS Europe Windstorm HD Model further enhances the current model and will cover 17 countries, adding Finland and Lichtenstein. The HD model includes a climate variability view and has expanded storm surge analytics to include the U.K., Ireland, France, and Belgium. Storm clustering will be modeled natively within the HD framework, together with an option to run the model without clustering. Industrial facilities, builders’ risk, and marine cargo will also all be covered. With the new model RMS will be able to offer a complete High-Definition solution for all atmospheric climate perils across Europe including Europe SCS HD Model, Europe Windstorm HD Model - and the Europe Flood HD Model, which was particularly relevant during the Berndt flooding in 2021. The exceptionally high insured losses from the U.S. severe winter weather event of February 2021 placed the winter storm peril in sharp focus. Both the RMS North America Winterstorm and RMS North America SCS HD Models benefit from a simulation-based framework that better represents the time-dependent nature of SCS/WT event frequency and hazard. This includes event clustering, seasonality, and the representation of cumulative hazard such as multi-day SCS outbreaks, or the cumulative snow buildup on a building due to multiple snowfalls. RMS launched its market-leading Terrorism Model in 2002, to help firms better manage exposed risks and quantify losses and casualties due to macro terrorism. As part of the suite of capabilities Moody's provides clients, the new RMS Terrorism HD Model offers increased transparency in exceedance probability (EP) generation, with outputs and analysis processes consistent with other RMS HD models. Workflow improvements include expanded financial model capabilities, multi-region selections, property and workers compensation in a single analysis, and introduces selectable causes of loss: conventional, fire only, or chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN). The planned general availability for the RMS Terrorism HD Model will be in 2022, Europe Windstorm HD Model in 2023, and North America Winterstorm and North America Severe Convective Storm in 2024. Julie Serakos, Senior Vice President, Model Production Management, RMS, said: “The RMS High Definition Models are delivering a step-change in risk analysis across the insurance industry. All the technological capabilities within the RMS Intelligent Risk Platform™ support the RMS HD model enhancements for clients. These model announcements build on Moody’s continued commitment to bringing reliable and precise analytics to the modelers, underwriters, the C-suite, and across the industry. RMS has always invested in leading science and technology to ensure that clients have some of the best information available to help them with their risk decisions.”
NEWARK, CA – 17 May, 2022 – RMS®, a Moody's Analytics company and world-leading risk modeling and solutions company, announces it will be launching a new application, UnderwriteIQ™, hosted on the cloud-based RMS Intelligent Risk Platform™. UnderwriteIQ enables underwriters to have greater control of risks by bringing hazard, exposure, and loss data together in the underwriting process at the point of decision – all based on RMS model science and data. The new application will allow underwriters to price with confidence, enable consistent risk decisions, and improve operational efficiency. The application is hosted on the modular and unified RMS Intelligent Risk Platform (IRP). The platform provides proprietary and tertiary data analytics to rapidly generate high-resolution risk insights via applications that meet underwriting and portfolio management needs. Moe Khosravy, Executive Vice President, Software and Platform, RMS, said: “The growth in adoption of the RMS Intelligent Risk Platform has been phenomenal. A substantial number of clients are benefiting from the secure cloud-based platform that provides superior advanced analytics through a single holistic enterprise risk management system, without the hardware and software maintenance required for on-premise offerings. IRP easily integrates into existing systems and its modular design allows users to license and use only the required applications or APIs.” UnderwriteIQ is the latest addition to the RMS IQ application suite, which also includes TreatyIQ™ and ExposureIQ™. The TreatyIQ application allows users to rapidly design and analyze both simple and complex treaty program structures, as well as import and leverage any modeled loss data, adapted to a user’s view of risk. An intuitive, underwriter-centric user experience supports customized pricing and capital metrics and can display rapid roll-up results, with analytics on aggregate positions and the performance of risk capital. ExposureIQ allows users to manage both reinsurance and insurance accumulations within one application, building structures that represent their business hierarchies in an intuitive way. The application also provides near real-time catastrophe event visualization using a powerful mapping module that directly integrates RMS Event Response and RMS HWind data. ExposureIQ makes business-wide exposure management faster and more accurate, allowing for easy identification of the key drivers of accumulations and portfolio trends, and analysis of deterministic losses across any region in the world. Michael Steel, General Manager, RMS, concluded: “The RMS Intelligent Risk Platform has gone from strength to strength since it was launched in 2018, as can be seen by its adoption across the insurance market. Powered by RMS models, science, and technology, UnderwriteIQ is a welcome addition to the existing IQ applications suite, delivering business value, end-to-end consistency, and an improved client experience. RMS plans to always continue to invest in and deliver the technology, science, and solutions that help our clients make better risk decisions.”