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A Debate About The Numbers
It depends on who you ask. The insurance, real estate, and banking industries are lobbying forcefully for a renewal, citing the difficulty of…
Rumbling Below the Waves
Which of the following would you say has the shortest odds? a) Someone getting injured by a firework b) A meteor landing on a house c)…
Social Change is Outperforming Medical Science
We are in the middle of a health awareness revolution. Attitudes to fitness, health, diet, and social risk factors are changing more rapidly…
The Dangerous City of Tacloban
The city of Tacloban, on the island of Leyte, is the largest city in the eastern Visayas region of the central Philippines. In a 2010 survey…
Life Safety on a Cat 5 Coastline
Many of the thousands of lives lost in Super Typhoon Haiyan could have been saved if a proper storm surge forecast had been provided, and if…
Will it Blend? (…And Now What?)
In previous posts on multi-modeling, Claire Souch and I discussed the importance of validating models and the principles of model blending.…